Auburn Florida Point Spread

Florida Gators (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS) at No. 24 Auburn Tigers (4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS)
Saturday October 15th, 2011. 7:00PM EST, College Football Week 7
Jordan Hare Stadium Auburn, AL
By Jay Horne, College Football Handicapper, Predictem.com

Auburn vs Florida Head-to-Head Results & Betting Trends - Auburn defeated Florida, 17-6, at home in Auburn, Alabama, in the most recent meeting between these two programs on Oct. Auburn is 4-1 in its last five head-to-head matchups against Florida. Florida is 6-4 in its last 10 head-to-head matchups against Auburn. » Florida is just 79-88 all-time against Auburn, though the Gators are 3-1 vs. The Tigers under White and 9-1 in their last 10 meetings. AU beat UF 76-62 back on Feb. 5 in Auburn, Alabama. The line has held steady from the opening line of a 1-point spread in favor of No. 11 Florida State (14-3 SU; 10-6-1 ATS) in several shops in Las Vegas against North Carolina (14-8 SU; 9-12-1 ATS).

Point Spread: UF -2/Aub +2
Over/Under Total: OFF

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The Florida Gators suffered their 2nd straight blowout loss last week at the hands of LSU by a score of 41-11. It was the 2nd straight week the Gators had lost by 28 points or more after suffering another big loss to Alabama the week before ultimately marking the first time in 3 decades Florida suffered two straight losses by more than 24 points. Perhaps it’s a sign of the times, or maybe both losses show just how far the SEC West powers have come along. This week the Gators battle another SEC West power by way of the 24th ranked Auburn Tigers inside Jordan Hare Stadium.

The Auburn Tigers are not near the power they were a year ago when they won the National Championship. However, the young team is not near as bad as some people believed they would be in 2011. The Tigers upset a top ten South Carolina team two weeks ago and have two wins against top 16 opponents on the season. Last week the Tigers, defense long to be the weakness of the team, failed to find a way to stop an explosive Arkansas offense in a 38-14 loss on the road. It was the 2nd loss for the Tigers this season. This week the Tigers return home to Jordan Hare in a rebound situation. The Tigers have won 11 straight games at home and they will put that streak on the line this week against the visiting Gators.

For Florida, they still believe they can contend for the SEC East and they are not out of the picture despite two early conference losses. However, the Gators must find a way to get things going on the offensive side of the football. The Gators scored just 21 points combined in their two losses to LSU and Alabama. Additionally, starting QB John Brantley missed last week with an ankle injury and his status for this week is still uncertain. Freshman Jacoby Brissett received the nod last week against LSU but struggled completing 8 of 14 passing for 1 score and 2 picks. The good news is that Florida does not have to post huge numbers throwing the football. Fortunately, Florida can be successful as long as they can get moving on the ground despite whoever plays the quarterback role.

The problem over the last few weeks is that the Gators have battled two of the toughest rushing defenses in the country and failed to establish the run. This week Florida will attempt to get running backs Jeff Demps and Chris Rainey the ball more often. Rainey currently leads the team with 467 yards. However, Demps is the true homerun threat averaging over 8 yards per carry and a team-high 4 touchdowns. Fortunately for Florida, the Auburn defense has been horrific against the run allowing 201 yards per game on the ground. Therefore, Florida will attempt to get back to what they do best and that is attacking on the ground.

For Auburn, defense has to be the major area of concern. The Tigers rank a miserable 105th in total defense giving up 439 yards per game. Additionally, the Tigers have relinquished nearly 30 points on average as well. The challenge this week will be getting to the Florida tailbacks quickly and bringing them down before they get into the open field. The bottom line is that the Tigers must play solid against the run this weekend if they are going to keep their unbeaten home streak alive.

On the offensive side of the ball, the Tigers like to move the ball on the ground as well. The Auburn passing has been nearly non-existent and QB Barrett Trotter has struggled heavily. However, the Tigers have one of the best tailbacks in the SEC in Michael Dyer. Dyer has been explosive this season racking up 679 yards with 8 touchdowns while averaging near 6 yards per carry. Also, backup Onterrio McCalebb has added 221 yards while averaging over 5 yards per carry off the bench. Expect both guys to be a focus for the offensive attack this Saturday against the Gators. The key will be if the Auburn offense can run the ball consistently and sustain long drives to allow their defense to rest. If they can do that, they will have a good chance of scoring the victory.

Jay’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Both teams are in a rebound situation and I believe this will be a hard fought game on both sides. However, I believe the Gators will put out the win. Take Florida -2.

Additional College Football Betting Previews

For the first time in eight years, the Florida Gators and Auburn Tigers will renew their rivalry on the football field, and they’ll do so with both teams ranked in the top-10. The no. 10 Gators will play host to the no. 7 Tigers at 3:30 EST on Saturday, October 5 at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium in Gainesville, Florida. The game will be broadcast nationally on CBS.

Oddsmakers view the Tigers as 3-point favorites on the road with an over/under of 47 points. Click here for a full schedule and betting odds for all of this week’s college football games.

Florida vs Auburn Vegas Game Preview & Betting Odds

The Tigers have passed the first five tests of their season with flying colors. Auburn has already scored impressive wins over the likes of Oregon, Texas A&M, and Mississippi State on their way to being 5-0. However, they are set to play all three of their October games on the road, including this week’s road trip to the Swamp and a visit to LSU at the end of the month. It won’t be easy, but if the Tigers can remain undefeated through that stretch, there will be no denying that they are serious contenders for a spot in the College Football Playoff.

Things are a little different for the Gators, who haven’t been challenged quite as much. Two of their five wins have come against FCS teams. To date, their most impressive win was the season opener against a Miami team that barely beat Central Michigan last week. Florida is set to play three of their next four games against top-10 teams, so this is the point in the season when the Gators have to prove themselves. Despite the 5-0 record, there are still reasons to be skeptical of Florida, but a win over Auburn can change that.

Auburn V Florida 2019 Point Spread

As mentioned, these two teams haven’t crossed paths since 2011, so it’s been a while for two teams that have produced plenty of memorable moments over the years. For what it’s worth, the Tigers have won four of the last five meetings, including their last visit to Gainesville in 2007. Of course, Gus Malzahn and Dan Mullen matched wits on a yearly basis from 2013 to 2017 while Mullen was still at Mississippi State. Malzahn and the Tigers won three of those five meetings, including a pair of lopsided affairs in 2016 and 2017.

Free NCAA Football Pick Against the Spread: Auburn -3

Florida is starting to get healthy and has looked good against inferior opponents. But I’m high on Auburn right now. The Tigers have proved a lot during their first five games, and I think they’re ready to beat a top-10 team on the road. Admittedly, I’m a little nervous about taking a road favorite in The Swamp. However, there is evidence of Auburn winning a game like this, so I’ll eat the points and lean toward the Tigers.

With all due respect, the jury is still out Florida quarterback Kyle Trask, who has taken over as the starter after the injury to Feleipe Franks. Trask came up big in the comeback win over Kentucky in the game that Franks was hurt, but this is his first true test as the starter. It concerns me that he threw two interceptions against Tennessee, even if the Gators won easily. Also, he was sacked three times last week against Towson. I’m not blaming him for that, but it’s a concern for the entire Florida offense this week against Auburn’s defensive line.

The Tigers have dominated teams at the line of scrimmage this season, which could pose a problem for the Gators. Florida running backs Lamical Perine and Dameon Pierce have both been held in check against SEC teams this season. That doesn’t bode well for Florida’s chances of establishing a ground game against Auburn and taking some of the heat off Trask. The Gators don’t want to be in a position in which Trask has to carry the offense with his arm. That’s a recipe for the Auburn defensive line pinning its ears back and coming after the inexperienced quarterback.

The key for Florida in this game could be their defense. If the Gators can keep this a low-scoring game, they won’t have to abandon the run and force too much on Trask’s shoulders. Instead, they can be patient with the offense and hope that their defense or special teams can make a big play to give them the edge. On paper, the Florida defense has performed at a high level, but they’ve yet to be challenged that much.

Meanwhile, the Auburn offense is coming off a breakout performance, scoring 56 points last week against Mississippi State. The caveat is that the Tigers turned it over three times. But if we can forgive those errors, the Auburn offense was able to stay balanced and move the ball with ease. More importantly, it was by far the best performance from true freshman quarterback Bo Nix, who has improved from week to week. Nix also showed in the season opener against Oregon that he’s capable of coming up big in the clutch.

Florida Gators Vs Auburn Point Spread

For the record, I’m not expecting fireworks from the Auburn offense this week. However, I think that Nix and the Tigers will eventually be able to put together a few good drives. Meanwhile, I think the Auburn defensive line will keep Trask and the Gators from answering. Despite a little hesitation, I’m comfortable eating the field points and leaning toward Auburn to cover on the road.