Tulsa Cincinnati Pick

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The Tulsa visits Cincinnati on 12/19/2020 at 8:00PM.

Below is my pick for the #24 Tulsa Golden Hurricane at #8 Cincinnati Bearcats. #24 Tulsa Golden Hurricanes at #8 Cincinnati Bearcats (-14.5): O/U 47.5 (-107/-114) Last time out, Tulsa finished off their regular season with a 19-6 road win over Navy. This game was tied at six late in the third quarter, but Tulsa scored the final 13 points of the. Oct 14, 2020 Cincinnati should do a better job of it – the defense is about to rise up – but it’s going to be the antithesis to all the high-powered shootouts happening throughout college football. Cincinnati vs Tulsa Prediction, Line. Cincinnati 27, Tulsa 23 Bet on Cincinnati vs Tulsa with BetMGM Cincinnati -3.5, o/u: 44 ATS Confidence out of 5: 3. Dec 19, 2020 Over/Under Pick. We mentioned Tulsa's terrific stop-unit, but Cincinnati has been even more dominant on the defensive side of the ball. Led by linebacker Jarrell White, the Bearcats are holding. Dec 19, 2020 The Tulsa Golden Hurricane will meet the Cincinnati Bearcats on Saturday, Dec. 19 at Nippert Stadium from Cincinnati, Ohio in the 2020 American Athletic Conference Championship. Vegas Insider provides all the betting odds, predictions and picks for this AAC title game in Week 16.

Tulsa and Cincinnati face off in an important game for both teams as every game in this shortened season with limited or no fans in attendance means more. Tulsa has a record of 6-1 this season. Cincinnati is 8-0 this season. Both have players to meet and know.

Tulsa Team Defense Preview

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Tulsa has had 90 defensive drives in non-garbage time minutes and they yield 5.17 plays per drive. Relatively speaking, Tulsa is not a team that allows many plays per drive. This defense either gives up big plays quickly or induces a lot of three-and-outs, we shall find out more. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Tulsa opponents pass the football 46.45% of the time.Their opponents favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.
Tulsa opponents have struggled with running the ball and this defense has crushed the spirits of their opponents with zero or negative yard plays. 4th and Short is not a cake walk against this defense, maybe passing on 4th and Short or having some sort of RPO is the way to go here because if an Offensive Coordinator thinks that they can just line and run a Quarterback Sneak or hand it off to a tailback, they are mistaken. Opponent rushing yards attributed to their offensive line this season comes out to 2.53 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.
Disruptive plays are a part of the fabric of this team’s defensive effort. Game changing plays that drive Offensive Coordinators and Quarterbacks crazy, they find ways to deliver. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Tulsa is better at stopping the run than the pass this season.

Tulsa Team Offense Preview

Tulsa has had 90 drives in non-garbage time minutes and they average 5.36 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Tulsa is an average offense when it comes to staying ahead of the chains, getting into 3rd and Short scenarios, and converting on 3rd and 4th Down. Tulsa passes the football 48.34% of the time.Relatively speaking, this is a team that favors run/pass balance.
Tulsa is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. Based on the Adjusted Line Yards metric, which measures the amount of credit that should be ascribed to the offensive line for a rushing play, they average 2.83 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. When it comes to getting to that second level where linebackers have not crashed down on the line of scrimmage, they are getting stopped with ease. They feature a relatively average explosiveness in the running game, maybe there will be a breakout rushing play, but it is not something to count on from them.
Defenses have had average success disrupting the flow of the Tulsa Offense. Front sevens are causing an average amount of trouble for the Offense. Tulsa is a better passing team than running team this season.

Tulsa Vs Cincinnati Picks

Cincinnati Team Defense Preview

Cincinnati has had 84 total defensive drives this season and they yield 5.54 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive opponents run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Opponents face third and long situations a lot against this defense. This is a defense that forces opponents to commit penalties, have compromised offensive line play, and fail to convert on crunch possessions. Passing plays make up 54.41% of their opponents’ play calls.They are a team that faces a lot of Air Raid Offenses.
Cincinnati is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to create negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective are opposing offensive lines given what we know about their ability to force negative yardage rushing plays? Cincinnati can take credit for holding the offensive line of their opponent to 2.51 yards per carry. Opponent offensive lines have been simply unable to support their running games against this defense. When it comes to getting to that second level, running backs are getting stopped. This defense does not allow themselves to be gashed. The breakout rushing plays are simply not happening, it is a massive reach to expect this team to give up big rushing plays.
Cincinnati has made the turnover belt, chain, pads, lunch pail or whatever gimmick they use change hands a lot. This is a Defense that causes pure aggravation. Getting more specific, this front seven is a cause of a lot of headaches for offenses. They may be good enough to cause trouble in pass rush with just four rushers!Cincinnati has shown themselves to be better at stopping the pass than the run this season.

Cincinnati Team Offense Preview

Cincinnati has had 85 total drives this season and they generate 5.46 plays per drive. There is not much to take away here when it comes to how many plays per drive they run, but they are a team that falls in the average window when it comes to plays per drive. Cincinnati has shown a capability to be explosive on first and second down to avoid third downs and has converted well (relatively) on 3rd and 4th Down situations. Cincinnati passes the football 45.26% of the time.They favor running the ball as opposed airing it out.
Cincinnati is not doing anything particularly special as far as their ability to avoid negative yardage plays on the ground. How effective is the offensive line given what we know about their ability to prevent negative yards on rushing plays? More than you think, thanks to the Adjusted Line Yards metric. Cincinnati can take credit for 2.93 yards per carry. Generally speaking, this is an average offensive line as far as their ability to set up the running game. This is a team that is rather above-average when it comes to gashing defenses. The threat of the run should force opposing to play more honest and assignment defensive football is a must. They have an explosive running game and they are capable of breaking big yardage runs on First and Second Down. This puts a lot of pressure on Linebackers and Safeties.
Defenses have had trouble making big, disruptive plays against Cincinnati this season. There has been a relatively good job done by this Offensive Line to prevent opposing front sevens from causing problems consistently. Cincinnati is a better passing team than running team this season.

The Tulsa Roster

The Players to Watch for Tulsa

Zach Smith QB 6-3 227

Tulsa Cincinnati Pick

This season, Zach Smith has put up 1435 yards and 11 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 135.2thus far this season. Zach Smith has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Zach Smith has -42.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 5.11 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 23.0 times this season, which puts him in the 57.06 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 0.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Lines

Deneric Prince RB 6-1 214

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This season, Deneric Prince has 356 rushing yards on 70 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 2 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Deneric Prince picked up 11 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 1 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 0 receiving touchdowns this season.

Keylon Stokes WR 6-0 194

This season, Keylon Stokes picked up 508 yards. He caught the ball 35 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

Jaxon Player DL 6-0 290.0

The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Tulsa, Jaxon Player has 28 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 8 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 95.13 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 3 times this season, which put him in the 88.81 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

Picks

Kendarin Ray S 6-4 200.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Tulsa, Kendarin Ray had 51 tackles which puts him in the 94.06 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 70.2 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Kendarin Ray as a ball hawker was able to pick off 0 passes this season, which puts him in the 37.12 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Allie Green IV CB 6-3 206

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Tulsa, Allie Green IV had 21 tackles which puts him in the 72.47 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 75.14 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Allie Green IV as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 80.48 percentile among Corners this season.

The Cincinnati Roster

The Players to Watch for Cincinnati

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Desmond Ridder QB 6-4 215

This season, Desmond Ridder has put up 1821 yards and 16 touchdowns. He has thrown 6 interceptions. He has a QB Rating of 156.6thus far this season. Desmond Ridder has thrown 6 interceptions this season.As a rusher, Desmond Ridder has 526.0 rushing yards, which puts him in the 97.75 percentile among Quarterbacks. He ran the ball as opposed to throwing the ball 67.0 times this season, which puts him in the 87.69 percentile. Has he hit paydirt as a runner? He has 11.0 rushing touchdowns this season.

Gerrid Doaks RB 6-0 230

This season, Gerrid Doaks has 660 rushing yards on 137 carries. Was he able to get to the end zone on the ground? He has 7 rushing touchdowns.As a receiver in the backfield, Gerrid Doaks picked up 202 yards. He caught the ball as opposed to taking handoffs or catching laterals 14 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 2 receiving touchdowns this season.

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Jayson Jackson WR 5-10 175

This season, Jayson Jackson picked up 297 yards. He caught the ball 20 times this season. Did he score often as a receiver? He had 1 receiving touchdowns this season.

Curtis Brooks DT 6-2 295

The leading tackler among Defensive Tackles for Cincinnati, Curtis Brooks has 23 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 2 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 68.64 percentile among Defensive Tackles. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 2 times this season, which put him in the 88.38 percentile among all Defensive Tackles in College Football. He has forced 1 fumbles this season.

Myjai Sanders DE 6-5 258.0

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The leading tackler among Defensive Ends for Cincinnati, Myjai Sanders has 27 tackles this season. He was able to keep rushers back and penetrate the offensive line with 8 tackles for loss, which puts him in the 95.13 percentile among Defensive Ends. When it came to rushing the Quarterback, he has been able to take them down 5 times this season, which put him in the 96.08 percentile among all Defensive Ends in College Football. He has forced 0 fumbles this season.

James Wiggins S 6-0 205.0

He is the leading tackler among non-exclusive Defensive Backs (meaning he can play either Safety Position, Nickel Back, Star or even play as a Cornerback in coverage) for Cincinnati, James Wiggins had 31 tackles which puts him in the 77.89 percentile among returning non-exclusive Defensive Backs. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 70.2 percentile among Secondary position players. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 1 times this season. James Wiggins as a ball hawker was able to pick off 1 passes this season, which puts him in the 82.83 percentile among returning secondary position players this season.

Coby Bryant CB 6-1 198

Considered the leading tackler among Cornerbacks for Cincinnati, Coby Bryant had 28 tackles which puts him in the 86.66 percentile among Corners. He was able to keep rushers and receivers back on screens with 1 tackles for loss this season, which puts him in the 75.14 percentile among Corners. When it came to blitzing the Quarterback, this season he was able to take them down 0 times this season. Coby Bryant as a ball hawker was able to pick off 3 passes this season, which puts him in the 97.47 percentile among Corners this season.

Tulsa vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks, and Odds


Prediction: Tulsa 16 Cincinnati 28
Spread Pick: Tulsa +14.5 -105 5Dimes
Moneyline Pick: Cincinnati -559 SportsInteraction
Total Pick: Under 47 -110 Bovada

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